Yesterday when I published my last post, I felt like I was on a roll. Thus, I am going to forget my other work and smash this one out. So today I am going to be introducing you to the impact of disease and a biological enemy on corals and how it will most likely pan out in the future.
Let's get down to it shall we!? Diseases in reef communities are normal. Reefs, like all organisms, are affected by disease but their susceptibility is increased (outbreaks increased) under the influence of other stressors such as bleaching and OA for example.
A specific disease affected corals is white syndrome in the GBR. A study by Bruno et al. (2007) focused on the interaction between anomalously high ocean temperatures and extent of coral cover, highlighting the role of disease. The mechanism behind disease outbreaks and climate is complicated and if you are interested then please read this paper in detail by Sokolow (2009). Here, however, is a diagram illustrating the complexity from Sokolow (2009).
In a nutshell though, an increase in temperature causes pathogens to reproduce more quickly and as a consequence, disease spreads much faster. This has been seen to be the case in the summer months confirming this theory. In the table below taken from Solokow (2009) shows other climate drivers and their impact on disease.
Anyway, Bruno et al. (2007) to construct their argument, they evaluated the relationship between occurrence of white syndrome and a) no. of weekly SST anomalies (>1degf against mean records) b) coral cover, and c) interaction between the two. From their statistical analysis, the third variable was deemed to be statistically significant with a strong correlation present. Therefore, temperature anomalies along with high coral cover equal a greater likelihood of white syndrome outbreaks. What of the future? Well, if global warming increases (which it will do), then warm temperature anomalies observed will increase resulting in ever increasing susceptibility and outbreaks, to and of white syndrome. This disease has the ability, if the impact is great enough, to completely transform a vibrant reef into a wasteland. Scary stuff!
It must be noted that in the thorough paper by Solokow (2009), the relationship between coral disease and climate has been difficult to reliably ascertain. The evidence in recent years has been largely poor and uncertainty still lingers. However, research in this area is moving in the right direction. What needs to be achieved next is the understanding of what causes disease emergence at large spatial and temporal scales. But to achieve this, researchers must overcome three hinderances outlined in the Solokow (2009) abstract. Whilst the evidence is in its early stages, it suggests that reducing climate change will reduce disease outbreaks.
Now then, my focus is going to move towards an coral animal that is becoming a real trouble maker on the GBR. The Crown of Thorns Starfish (COTS) has been found to devastate the coral reefs. They look like a menace.
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Crown of Thorns Starfish (source: pacificislandparks.com) |
Watch this from the BBC! The video briefly summarises the state of affairs in relation to the GBR. The study it refers to is this one by De'ath et al. (2012). The statistics in the video are truly worrying and highlights the impact of both storms and the COTS. (This is also a good paper for the previous post on storms but alas I forgot!). Anyway, from this evidence , one cannot underestimate the COTS and like the video says, more must be done to regulate these biological hazards to ensure the integrity of the reef. This will be difficult as the ability of the COTS to have a significant impact is also a function other environmental variables that need to be addressed also.
This post is the last one for the series of Climate Crimes stated a while ago. I haven't yet decided on what I am going to do next so I'll leave you with this astonishing and outrageous cliff hanger...lol?
Over and out peeps,
Seb